18 7 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1197 127 Strength Momentum |
1154 54.9(24) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/19/15 | Onate | 0.001 | 1018 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1198 | 72% | |
08/22/15 | Cathedral | W 2- 1 | --- | --- | --- | |||
08/28/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.006 | 1261 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1189 | 41% | |
08/28/15 | at Onate ?? | 0.006 | 1018 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1067 | 68% | |
08/29/15 | at Deming | 0.002 | 831 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1380 | 84% | |
09/01/15 | Gadsden | 0.012 | 1154 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1216 | 58% | |
09/08/15 | Alamogordo | 0.036 | 1055 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1167 | 68% | |
09/12/15 | Deming | 0.062 | 831 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1054 | 86% | |
09/15/15 | at Gadsden ? | 0.085 | 1154 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1085 | 53% | |
09/16/15 | at Deming | 0.026 | 831 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1380 | 84% | |
09/22/15 | at Belen ! | 0.013 | 869 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1562 | 80% | |
09/26/15 | Los Lunas | 0.288 | 1165 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1222 | 56% | |
09/29/15 | at Chaparral | 0.373 | 1237 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1227 | 44% | |
10/03/15 | Valencia | 0.494 | 1241 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1260 | 47% | |
10/06/15 | Centennial !! | 0.560 | 1281 | W 5- 3 | Better (+3) | 1329 | 43% | |
10/10/15 | Belen | 0.068 | 869 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1543 | 83% | |
10/13/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.790 | 1165 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1241 | 52% | |
10/17/15 | Chaparral | 0.885 | 1237 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1158 | 48% | |
10/22/15 | at Valencia | 0.926 | 1241 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1129 | 43% | |
10/24/15 | at Centennial | 0.989 | 1281 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1198 | 39% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1154, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 1210
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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