2015 Season results for Santa Teresa (BV,3-5A)

18   7   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
1197     127
Strength     Momentum
1154   54.9(24)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   6L   1T 
District  6W   3L   1T 
Expected  14:   3+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/19/15 Onate 0.0011018W 2- 0 Expected (0)1198 72%
08/22/15 Cathedral   W 2- 1 ------ ---
08/28/15 at Las Cruces 0.0061261L 0- 1 Expected (0)1189 41%
08/28/15 at Onate ?? 0.0061018L 0- 1 Worse (-3)1067 68%
08/29/15 at Deming 0.002831W 7- 0 Expected (+4)1380 84%
09/01/15 Gadsden 0.0121154W 2- 1 Expected (0)1216 58%
09/08/15 Alamogordo 0.0361055W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1167 68%
09/12/15 Deming 0.062831W 2- 1 Expected (-3)1054 86%
09/15/15 at Gadsden ? 0.0851154L 0- 2 Worse (-2)1085 53%
09/16/15 at Deming 0.026831W 7- 0 Expected (+4)1380 84%
09/22/15 at Belen ! 0.013869W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1562 80%
09/26/15 Los Lunas 0.2881165W 1- 0 Expected (0)1222 56%
09/29/15 at Chaparral 0.3731237T 1- 1 Better (+1)1227 44%
10/03/15 Valencia 0.4941241W 2- 1 Better (+1)1260 47%
10/06/15 Centennial !! 0.5601281W 5- 3 Better (+3)1329 43%
10/10/15 Belen 0.068869W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1543 83%
10/13/15 at Los Lunas 0.7901165W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1241 52%
10/17/15 Chaparral 0.8851237L 0- 1 Expected (-1)1158 48%
10/22/15 at Valencia 0.9261241L 1- 3 Expected (-1)1129 43%
10/24/15 at Centennial 0.9891281L 1- 2 Expected (0)1198 39%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1154, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 1210
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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